Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.346862 0.396496 0.449635 0.510634 0.578589 0.651835 0.736624
2025-11-16 0.259714 0.325637 0.401750 0.495599 0.607636 0.736506 0.895321
2025-11-23 0.197255 0.270284 0.360852 0.480165 0.631792 0.816530 1.056916
2025-11-30 0.158746 0.236443 0.339404 0.483439 0.676952 0.924857 1.262837
2025-12-07 0.125571 0.202975 0.312343 0.474315 0.703485 1.010871 1.447939
2025-12-14 0.103098 0.180022 0.295404 0.475420 0.742246 1.114982 1.664782
2025-12-21 0.083276 0.156998 0.274253 0.466612 0.764588 1.196955 1.856710
2025-12-28 0.072831 0.146965 0.271088 0.483718 0.825668 1.337908 2.141846
2026-01-04 0.063999 0.137879 0.267775 0.499518 0.885362 1.480475 2.438640
2026-01-11 0.054697 0.125996 0.257705 0.502389 0.923933 1.592860 2.696763
2026-01-18 0.046681 0.114898 0.247161 0.502663 0.957418 1.698678 2.950527
2026-01-25 0.039693 0.104389 0.235964 0.500005 0.984935 1.795882 3.195692
2026-02-01 0.033797 0.095088 0.225888 0.498499 1.014844 1.900127 3.460876
2026-02-08 0.029050 0.087349 0.217730 0.499525 1.049121 2.013789 3.748405
2026-02-15 0.024514 0.079012 0.206930 0.493832 1.070152 2.105728 4.004699
2026-02-22 0.021746 0.074557 0.203904 0.503495 1.120773 2.252358 4.362141
2026-03-01 0.018433 0.067733 0.194305 0.497980 1.141122 2.345765 4.632008
2026-03-08 0.016116 0.063156 0.189259 0.501622 1.179701 2.474363 4.970404
2026-03-15 0.013594 0.057200 0.179748 0.493942 1.194244 2.558811 5.233656
2026-03-22 0.012557 0.055787 0.181689 0.512903 1.265720 2.754744 5.709248
2026-03-29 0.011548 0.054193 0.182885 0.530163 1.334780 2.949680 6.192007
2026-04-05 0.010164 0.050824 0.178625 0.533593 1.373982 3.088472 6.576341
2026-04-12 0.008871 0.047362 0.173481 0.534139 1.406676 3.215970 6.945025